https://macronotebook.com/2026/10/fed-decision-today-a-hold-at-88-and-december-odds-jump-to-89/The Macro Notebooken2026-10-28T09:27:00.000ZFed decision today: markets expect a hold, and now see an 89% chance of a December rise https://macronotebook.com/2026/10/israel-election-results-no-majority-and-the-shekel-falls/The Macro Notebooken2026-10-28T09:19:00.000ZIsrael election results: no bloc has a majority, and the shekel and Tel Aviv shares fall https://macronotebook.com/2026/10/brazilian-real-falls-84-after-lulas-win-worst-day-since-2008/The Macro Notebooken2026-10-28T08:58:00.000ZBrazilian real falls 8.4% after Lula's win, its worst day since 2008 https://macronotebook.com/2026/10/exponential-time-hypothesis-refuted-what-the-ai-proofs-mean/The Macro Notebooken2026-10-28T08:54:00.000ZExponential Time Hypothesis: OpenAI and Anthropic say their AI refuted it. What that means https://macronotebook.com/2026/10/what-is-a-budget-deficit-the-us-ran-1992bn-in-fiscal-2026/The Macro Notebooken2026-10-28T08:49:00.000ZWhat is a budget deficit? The US ran one of $1,992bn in fiscal 2026 https://macronotebook.com/2026/10/anthropic-ipo-163bn-of-revenue-and-the-founders-keep-control/The Macro Notebooken2026-10-27T08:23:00.000ZAnthropic IPO filing: $16.3bn of revenue in six months, and the founders keep control https://macronotebook.com/2026/10/fed-meeting-october-2026-a-hold-then-a-december-rise/The Macro Notebooken2026-10-27T08:22:00.000ZFed meeting October 2026: markets expect a hold on Wednesday and a rise in December https://macronotebook.com/2026/10/gas-prices-under-trump-vs-biden-averages-level-at-345/The Macro Notebooken2026-10-27T08:21:00.000ZGas prices under Trump vs Biden: level at $3.45, a week before the midterms https://macronotebook.com/2026/10/what-is-an-ipo-how-a-company-goes-public-step-by-step/The Macro Notebooken2026-10-27T08:19:00.000ZWhat is an IPO? How a company goes public, step by step https://macronotebook.com/2026/10/ccc-spreads-the-gap-over-single-b-is-the-widest-since-2020/The Macro Notebooken2026-10-27T00:00:00.000ZA junk bond crash signal is flashing. Its record is weaker than it looks