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16 Oct

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Europe

The euro-area economy, the euro, and the politics that move European markets. 13 items, newest first.

October 2026

  1. Our research
    Why is the Albanian lek so strong? Who gains, who pays, and what nobody counts

    The Albanian lek is so strong that no floating currency has gained more since 2019. Tourism leads; import prices did not fall, but the state's debt ratio did.

    NoteK.V.52 min
  2. Balkans
    Albania protests: Rama says EU membership is at risk, with €709m in EU funds to come

    Albania's protests hit a sixth day as Rama said EU membership, not his government, is at stake. €709m of the EU's €922m in Growth Plan money is still to come.

    Market noteThe Notebook Desk3 min
  3. Geopolitics
    Cost of living protests spread across Europe as fuel prices jump 31.9%

    Cost of living protests hit France, Italy and Portugal. Euro area inflation reached 3.8% in September, as fuel cost 31.9% more than a year earlier.

    Market noteThe Notebook Desk4 min
  4. Balkans
    Albania protests: students riot in Tirana as the young keep leaving

    Students joined the flamingo movement and attacked government buildings for two nights. EU countries gave Albanians 68,653 first residence permits last year, and youth unemployment is 25.6%.

    Market noteThe Notebook Desk3 min
  5. Geopolitics
    EU-China hybrid deal: imports capped at 350,000 a year, less than half this year's

    China will hold hybrid car exports to the EU to 350,000 a year from December, against about 800,000 this year. The EU's deficit with China was €372bn in 2025.

    Market noteThe Notebook Desk3 min
  6. Geopolitics
    Nord Stream: US and Russian officials discussed an American investor

    Jared Kushner and Putin's envoy Kirill Dmitriev talked about a US stake in the idle Nord Stream pipelines, Reuters reported. Germany says it does not want them back.

    Market noteThe Notebook Desk4 min
  7. Policy
    ECB minutes: a unanimous rate rise, and no promise of another

    The ECB minutes for September show every member backed the rise to 2.50% and saw inflation risks to the upside, but they chose to promise nothing for October.

    Market noteThe Notebook Desk4 min
  8. Currencies
    Euro falls to a 17-month low on French debt and Spain's snap election

    Why is the euro falling? French bond yields jumped, Spain called a snap election, and the euro hit $1.1204, its lowest since May 2025. The figures behind it.

    Market noteThe Notebook Desk3 min
  9. Policy
    Euro area inflation jumped to 3.8%, but markets expect the ECB to wait

    Energy prices were 18.8% higher than a year ago in September, and inflation reached its highest since 2023. Core inflation rose only to 2.5%, and markets see little chance of an ECB rise this month.

    Market noteThe Notebook Desk3 min

September 2026

  1. Balkans
    Vučić gave up Serbia’s presidency, not his power

    He resigned to lead his party’s list in the election on 25 October. If it wins, he runs Serbia from the prime minister’s office. The size of the result matters as much as the winner.

    Market noteThe Notebook Desk4 min
  2. Geopolitics
    Burnham put rejoining the EU on the table. Voters back it, but Reform leads the polls

    The prime minister says Britain “could go all the way” back into the EU. Polls this year put support for membership at 60%. Reform UK, the party of Brexit, is level with Labour.

    Market noteThe Notebook Desk3 min
  3. Geopolitics
    Europe criticised Trump on migration. Now it is looking to Rwanda too

    Five EU countries want to start sending rejected asylum seekers to countries outside the bloc next year, with Rwanda first. Rwanda also takes US deportees. Asylum claims are already down by a third.

    Market noteThe Notebook Desk3 min
  4. Currencies
    The euro fell 2.2% in two weeks, after the ECB raised rates

    Both central banks raised rates in September. The dollar gained anyway, because Fed officials expect to go further.

    Market noteThe Notebook Desk3 min

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