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8 Oct

Economics ›

Policy

Central banks, budgets and the rules that shape markets. 6 items since launch, newest first.

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Market note
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4 min

ECB minutes: a unanimous rate rise, and no promise of another

The ECB minutes for September show a united Governing Council that chose to keep its next step open. Every member supported the proposal to raise the three key interest rates by a quarter of a point, the account of the 9–10 September meeting says. The account, the European Central Bank's version of minutes, was published on Thursday.

The ECB minutes for September show every member backed the rise to 2.50% and saw inflation risks to the upside, but they chose to promise nothing for October.

Continue reading the story

October 2026

  1. Fed minutes: most officials expect another rate rise by the end of the year

    The Fed minutes show most officials expect another rate rise by the end of 2026. Since then, inflation and hiring came in softer, but long yields kept rising.

    Market noteThe Notebook Desk4 min
  2. RBI policy: repo rate raised to 5.50%, India's first rise since 2023

    The RBI raised the repo rate by 25bp to 5.50% and moved to calibrated tightening, its first rise since February 2023, as it sees inflation near 6% this winter.

    Market noteThe Notebook Desk3 min
  3. RBI policy: India's first repo rate rise since 2023 is expected

    Most economists expect Wednesday's RBI policy decision to lift the repo rate to 5.50%. Inflation hit 4.82% in August, and the RBI sees it peaking near 6%.

    Market noteThe Notebook Desk4 min
  4. Euro area inflation jumped to 3.8%, but markets expect the ECB to wait

    Energy prices were 18.8% higher than a year ago in September, and inflation reached its highest since 2023. Core inflation rose only to 2.5%, and markets see little chance of an ECB rise this month.

    Market noteThe Notebook Desk3 min

September 2026

  1. The Fed raised rates and pencilled in one more increase

    The first increase since 2023 took the target range to 3.75% to 4%. The median official expects another quarter point before the end of the year.

    Market noteThe Notebook Desk3 min

All Policy items in the archive