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16 Oct

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Artificial intelligence

AI models and labs, what they cost and who pays, and what AI does to jobs, power use and markets. 19 items, newest first.

October 2026

  1. Equities
    Microsoft pulls out of Nscale's Essex AI data centre over power supply

    Microsoft has dropped its deal for Nscale's Loughton site, billed as the UK's largest AI supercomputer, with 23,040 Nvidia GPUs. Grid power is the cause.

    Market noteThe Notebook Desk4 min
  2. Rates
    AI crowding out: foreign buyers now prefer US corporate bonds to Treasuries

    The 10-year Treasury yield is 5.19%, up 44bp since August. In the year to July, private foreign investors bought $392.3bn of US corporate bonds and $263.4bn of Treasuries.

    Market noteThe Notebook Desk4 min
  3. Equities
    AI skills now set pay on Wall Street: a quarter of finance firms tie bonuses to them

    A quarter of US finance HR staff say their firms tie raises, promotions and bonuses to AI proficiency. PwC puts the pay premium for AI skills at 62%, up from 57% a year earlier.

    Market noteThe Notebook Desk4 min
  4. Equities
    Nvidia is too big to fail

    Nvidia guarantees $108.5bn of data-centre leases, $105bn of them for OpenAI, and holds $51.2bn of private stakes. Its filings show why it is too big to fail.

    Market noteThe Notebook Desk4 min
  5. Policy
    IMF World Economic Outlook: growth slows to 3.1% as inflation rises to 4.7%

    The IMF's October World Economic Outlook sees global growth of 3.1% in 2026 and 3.4% in 2027. AI investment offsets the energy shock, but inflation is rising.

    Market noteThe Notebook Desk4 min
  6. Equities
    Meta's Muse Wonder reaches the AI frontier, but Anthropic still leads

    Meta's Muse Wonder Full scores 56 on an independent index, behind Claude Opus 5.5 at 58 and ahead of OpenAI's best at 53. More labs at the top test safety rules.

    Market noteThe Notebook Desk4 min
  7. Equities
    Nvidia and Reflection AI: talks to buy the open-model start-up it already backs

    Nvidia is in talks to buy Reflection AI or invest more in it, having already put in $800m. It is the chipmaker's latest bet on open AI models made in America.

    Market noteThe Notebook Desk4 min
  8. Equities
    OpenAI's revenue is $50bn, not $68bn, and AI stocks paid for the gap

    OpenAI told investors its annualised revenue was about $50bn at the end of September, well short of the $68bn widely reported. CoreWeave fell nearly 8% and Oracle almost 6%.

    Market noteThe Notebook Desk4 min
  9. Credit
    Data centre building is up 73% in a year. The rest of US construction is shrinking

    Spending on US data centre construction reached an $85.0bn annual rate in August. Private building outside data centres fell 5.3%, and AI deals made up more than half of net bond supply.

    Market noteThe Notebook Desk3 min
  10. Geopolitics
    WTO trade forecast: AI is holding up world trade, and that is the risk

    The WTO doubled its 2026 goods trade forecast to 3.9%, and AI goods drove almost half the growth. The productivity gains are hard to see. The borrowing is not.

    Market noteThe Notebook Desk3 min
  11. Equities
    AI shopping agents are making big tech the gatekeepers of commerce, ING says

    AI agents that shop for us will make the biggest platforms stronger, ING says. Amazon has blocked Meta's Muse agent, Shopify has let it in, and Amazon's ad business shows why.

    Market noteThe Notebook Desk3 min
  12. Geopolitics
    Super Intelligence Force: who leads Trump's new AI body

    The Super Intelligence Force puts Trump's spy chief, the FTC chairman and two others in charge of coordinating AI policy. It follows an industry accord.

    Market noteThe Notebook Desk4 min
  13. Equities
    Accenture rose 16% on results that ease the fear that AI will eat its business

    The consultancy beat its own forecast, booked $22.2bn of new work and expects growth of 3% to 6% next year. Its shares had lost about a third of their value this year on fears that AI would shrink demand.

    Market noteThe Notebook Desk3 min
  14. Equities
    DeepSeek and Huawei go after the software that keeps Nvidia on top

    This year's chip rally rests on a few leaders. China is building its own chips, memory and software to replace them. Nvidia barely moved, but a DeepSeek scare cost it $593bn in a day last year.

    Market noteThe Notebook Desk4 min
  15. Geopolitics
    US AI labs are making the case against cheap Chinese models

    OpenAI accused Moonshot of copying its models, and Anthropic warned that a free Chinese model can build working exploits. Both say they oppose a ban. Their rivals sell for far less.

    Market noteThe Notebook Desk4 min
  16. Equities
    Gemini 4 Argon puts Google back in the AI race, but not in front

    An early independent test ties Google's new model with OpenAI's best, behind Anthropic. Google may not need to lead. It sells computing power to its rivals, and owns part of one.

    Market noteThe Notebook Desk3 min

September 2026

  1. Equities
    Apple kept its staff while its rivals cut jobs for AI. Its new chief wants a leaner Apple

    Oracle, Amazon and Microsoft have cut thousands of jobs and named AI as a reason. Apple cut just over 200. John Ternus now wants fewer managers and flat headcount, and he has looked at what AI could do instead.

    Market noteThe Notebook Desk3 min
  2. Equities
    Oura pulled its $2.2bn IPO, and the rest of the queue is waiting for Anthropic

    The smart-ring maker cited uncertainty in the market. Anthropic’s listing could be the largest ever, and companies that can afford to wait are keeping out of its way.

    Market noteThe Notebook Desk4 min
  3. Equities
    OpenAI shelved its next model as it tries to catch up with Anthropic

    GPT-6.1 Astra failed OpenAI’s own safety tests on the eve of DevDay. Anthropic overtook OpenAI this spring on revenue and valuation, and hired some of the best-known researchers in the field.

    Market noteThe Notebook Desk4 min

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